Wednesday, February 18, 2004
Draft Quick Hits
Orlando Carbrera, SS: Currently going 6-8 round (8th SS). YOU take him: 6-8 (7th SS—Matsui is a big ?. O is anything but.)
Jose Vidro, 2B: Currently going 6-8 (5th 2B). YOU take him: 5-7 (4th 2B if you need power, 5th after Castillo if you need speed) Be warned if you snub him—he could hit .335 this year.
Nick Johnson, 1B: Currently going anywhere from 12-18 round (15th 1B). YOU take him: really anywhere in there but don’t be upset if you miss him. There are 1Bers goin’ after him that could have better years (Millar, Konerko—bet on Konerko rebounding). Nick could go .315/25/70, but he’ll have to be healthy for a change.
Carl Everett, OF: Currently going mid teens (45th OF). YOU take him: 15th or so. Carl likes to play in the offensive parks and we’ve got two good ones. Key factor: watch his AVG vs. LHP. Trust me. Above .280 this year and watch out.
Rocky Biddle, P: Currently going late teens (65th P, 26th RP). YOU take him: As this point, it’s a little hard to say. I’d take him in the bottom half of the closers (and maybe get Cordero as insurance or vice versa—either that or just look at another team and avoid this mess altogether).
Livan Hernandez, P: Currently going late teens (69th P, 44th SP). YOU take him: early to mid teens -- if the Expos have a major sleeper, it’s him. Everyone knows him, but everyone underrates him. His ERA’s gonna be under 4.00, WHIP under 1.25, 150+ Ks, and if the bullpen holds, he’ll push 20. Don’t laugh, you’ll see.
Chad Cordero, P: Currently going early twenties (79th P, 32nd RP). YOU take him: See Biddle.
Brad Wilkerson, OF: Currently going at clean up time (64 OF). YOU take him: Well, late if you need a 5th/bench OF. He could pop 20, but I think his power is waning. His OBP is good, but he strikes out—A LOT (3rd in NL in 2003). At your own risk.
Tony Batista, 3B: Currently going at clean up time (13th 3B). YOU take him: Don’t. I know he’s hit at least 25 HR the last 5 years, but this is the year it stops. AVG sub-.250 for sure, maybe sub-.240. Leave him alone. Trade for A-Rod.
Any deeper draft analysis you need—shoot me an e-mail.
Jose Vidro, 2B: Currently going 6-8 (5th 2B). YOU take him: 5-7 (4th 2B if you need power, 5th after Castillo if you need speed) Be warned if you snub him—he could hit .335 this year.
Nick Johnson, 1B: Currently going anywhere from 12-18 round (15th 1B). YOU take him: really anywhere in there but don’t be upset if you miss him. There are 1Bers goin’ after him that could have better years (Millar, Konerko—bet on Konerko rebounding). Nick could go .315/25/70, but he’ll have to be healthy for a change.
Carl Everett, OF: Currently going mid teens (45th OF). YOU take him: 15th or so. Carl likes to play in the offensive parks and we’ve got two good ones. Key factor: watch his AVG vs. LHP. Trust me. Above .280 this year and watch out.
Rocky Biddle, P: Currently going late teens (65th P, 26th RP). YOU take him: As this point, it’s a little hard to say. I’d take him in the bottom half of the closers (and maybe get Cordero as insurance or vice versa—either that or just look at another team and avoid this mess altogether).
Livan Hernandez, P: Currently going late teens (69th P, 44th SP). YOU take him: early to mid teens -- if the Expos have a major sleeper, it’s him. Everyone knows him, but everyone underrates him. His ERA’s gonna be under 4.00, WHIP under 1.25, 150+ Ks, and if the bullpen holds, he’ll push 20. Don’t laugh, you’ll see.
Chad Cordero, P: Currently going early twenties (79th P, 32nd RP). YOU take him: See Biddle.
Brad Wilkerson, OF: Currently going at clean up time (64 OF). YOU take him: Well, late if you need a 5th/bench OF. He could pop 20, but I think his power is waning. His OBP is good, but he strikes out—A LOT (3rd in NL in 2003). At your own risk.
Tony Batista, 3B: Currently going at clean up time (13th 3B). YOU take him: Don’t. I know he’s hit at least 25 HR the last 5 years, but this is the year it stops. AVG sub-.250 for sure, maybe sub-.240. Leave him alone. Trade for A-Rod.
Any deeper draft analysis you need—shoot me an e-mail.
